Football Prediction: Chernomorets vs Chayka

Chernomorets vs Chayka

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.48
D L L L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.71

L L L L D D

Kick Off: 15-09-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Chernomorets and Chayka face each other in the Russia First League match on Monday 15th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chernomorets have scored an average of 1.19 goals and conceded average of 1.19 goals while Chayka scored 0.86 goals and conceded 1.31 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chernomorets vs Chayka is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.57%

Head to Head Record - Chernomorets vs. Chayka

Date	Competition	Match
15-09-2025	Russia First League 2025	Chernomorets	- (HT -)	Chayka
23-03-2025	Russia First League 2024	Chayka	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Chernomorets
21-07-2024	Russia First League 2024	Chernomorets	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Chayka

Competition		Date
Russia First League		15-09-2025
Chernomorets	- (HT -)	Chayka
Russia First League		23-03-2025
Chayka	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Chernomorets
Russia First League		21-07-2024
Chernomorets	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Chayka