Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Fakel

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Shinnik

0.83
L W W D D W

SCHEDULED -

1.42

W D D D L W

Kick Off: 11-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Fakel face each other in the Russia First League match on Saturday 11th of October 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored an average of 1.03 goals and conceded average of 1.03 goals while Fakel scored 1.10 goals and conceded 1.47 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Fakel is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.88%

Head to Head Record - Shinnik Yaroslavl vs. Fakel

Date	Competition	Match
11-10-2025	Russia First League 2025	Shinnik Yaroslavl	- (HT -)	Fakel
02-05-2021	Russia First League 2020	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Fakel Voronezh
07-11-2020	Russia First League 2020	Fakel Voronezh	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl

Competition		Date
Russia First League		11-10-2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl	- (HT -)	Fakel
Russia First League		02-05-2021
Shinnik Yaroslavl	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Fakel Voronezh
Russia First League		07-11-2020
Fakel Voronezh	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl

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