Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena Khimki

1.23
L W W L L D

SCHEDULED -

0.92

L W W D D W

Kick Off: 20-10-2025 18:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Torpedo Moskva and Shinnik Yaroslavl face each other in the Russia First League match on Monday 20th of October 2025. The two teams have met 6 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.83 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Torpedo Moskva have scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded average of 1.36 goals while Shinnik Yaroslavl scored 0.90 goals and conceded 1.68 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 63.58%

Head to Head Record - Torpedo Moskva vs. Shinnik Yaroslavl

Date	Competition	Match
20-10-2025	Russia First League 2025	Torpedo Moskva	- (HT -)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
11-05-2025	Russia First League 2024	Torpedo Moskva	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
21-09-2024	Russia First League 2024	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Torpedo Moskva
20-05-2024	Russia First League 2023	Torpedo Moskva	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
28-10-2023	Russia First League 2023	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Torpedo Moskva
15-05-2021	Russia First League 2020	Torpedo Moskva	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
02-08-2020	Russia First League 2020	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Torpedo Moskva

Competition		Date
Russia First League		20-10-2025
Torpedo Moskva	- (HT -)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia First League		11-05-2025
Torpedo Moskva	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia First League		21-09-2024
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Torpedo Moskva
Russia First League		20-05-2024
Torpedo Moskva	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia First League		28-10-2023
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Torpedo Moskva
Russia First League		15-05-2021
Torpedo Moskva	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia First League		02-08-2020
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Torpedo Moskva

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