Fakel vs Ural

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Fakel Stadium

0.86
W D D D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.84

L L W D W D

Kick Off: 16-10-2025 16:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Fakel and Ural face each other in the Russia Cup match on Thursday 16th of October 2025. The two teams have met 5 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.80 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fakel have scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded average of 1.11 goals while Ural scored 0.97 goals and conceded 1.47 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fakel vs Ural is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 75.84%

Head to Head Record - Fakel vs. Ural

Date	Competition	Match
16-10-2025	Russia Cup 2025	Fakel	- (HT -)	Ural
31-08-2025	Russia First League 2025	Ural	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Fakel
12-05-2024	Russia Premier League 2023	Fakel Voronezh	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Ural
17-09-2023	Russia Premier League 2023	Ural	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fakel Voronezh
12-11-2022	Russia Premier League 2022	Ural	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fakel Voronezh
12-08-2022	Russia Premier League 2022	Fakel Voronezh	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Ural

Competition		Date
Russia Cup		16-10-2025
Fakel	- (HT -)	Ural
Russia First League		31-08-2025
Ural	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Fakel
Russia Premier League		12-05-2024
Fakel Voronezh	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Ural
Russia Premier League		17-09-2023
Ural	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Fakel Voronezh
Russia Premier League		12-11-2022
Ural	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fakel Voronezh
Russia Premier League		12-08-2022
Fakel Voronezh	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Ural

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