Football Prediction: Baltika vs Lokomotiv

Baltika vs Lokomotiv

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Rostec Arena

1.46
W L W D L D

SCHEDULED -

1.87

D W D D W W

Kick Off: 23-10-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Baltika and Lokomotiv face each other in the Russia Cup match on Thursday 23rd of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Baltika have scored an average of 1.27 goals and conceded average of 1.27 goals while Lokomotiv scored 1.46 goals and conceded 1.39 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Baltika vs Lokomotiv is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.46%

Head to Head Record - Baltika vs. Lokomotiv

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Russia Premier League 2025	Lokomotiv	- (HT -)	Baltika
23-10-2025	Russia Cup 2025	Baltika	- (HT -)	Lokomotiv
16-08-2025	Russia Premier League 2025	Baltika	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lokomotiv
13-08-2025	Russia Cup 2025	Lokomotiv	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Baltika
25-05-2024	Russia Premier League 2023	Baltika	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Lokomotiv Moscow
03-09-2023	Russia Premier League 2023	Lokomotiv Moscow	3-2 (HT 3-0)	Baltika

Competition		Date
Russia Premier League		10-05-2026
Lokomotiv	- (HT -)	Baltika
Russia Cup		23-10-2025
Baltika	- (HT -)	Lokomotiv
Russia Premier League		16-08-2025
Baltika	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lokomotiv
Russia Cup		13-08-2025
Lokomotiv	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Baltika
Russia Premier League		25-05-2024
Baltika	1-3 (HT 0-1)	Lokomotiv Moscow
Russia Premier League		03-09-2023
Lokomotiv Moscow	3-2 (HT 3-0)	Baltika