Football Prediction: ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: McDiarmid Park

1.55
D W W W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.67

D D L D L W

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

ST Johnstone and Ayr Utd face each other in the Scotland Championship match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches ST Johnstone have scored an average of 1.02 goals and conceded average of 1.02 goals while Ayr Utd scored 1.30 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.34%

Head to Head Record - ST Johnstone vs. Ayr Utd

Date	Competition	Match
01-05-2026	Scotland Championship 2025	Ayr Utd	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
28-02-2026	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Ayr Utd
13-12-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	Ayr Utd	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
04-10-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Ayr Utd

Competition		Date
Scotland Championship		01-05-2026
Ayr Utd	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		28-02-2026
ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Ayr Utd
Scotland Championship		13-12-2025
Ayr Utd	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		04-10-2025
ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Ayr Utd