Football Prediction: ST Johnstone vs Morton

ST Johnstone vs Morton

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: McDiarmid Park

1.15
D W W W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.14

L D D D D W

Kick Off: 20-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

ST Johnstone and Morton face each other in the Scotland Championship match on Saturday 20th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches ST Johnstone have scored an average of 1.02 goals and conceded average of 1.02 goals while Morton scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for ST Johnstone vs Morton is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.78%

Head to Head Record - ST Johnstone vs. Morton

Date	Competition	Match
07-03-2026	Scotland Championship 2025	Morton	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
20-12-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Morton
25-10-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	Morton	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
30-08-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Morton

Competition		Date
Scotland Championship		07-03-2026
Morton	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		20-12-2025
ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Morton
Scotland Championship		25-10-2025
Morton	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		30-08-2025
ST Johnstone	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Morton