Football Prediction: ST Johnstone vs Dunfermline

ST Johnstone vs Dunfermline

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: McDiarmid Park

0.79
W L L W L L

SCHEDULED -

0.75

D L D D W L

Kick Off: 24-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

ST Johnstone and Dunfermline face each other in the Scotland Championship match on Saturday 24th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches ST Johnstone have scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded average of 1.00 goals while Dunfermline scored 0.85 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for ST Johnstone vs Dunfermline is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 79.87%

Head to Head Record - ST Johnstone vs. Dunfermline

Date	Competition	Match
18-04-2026	Scotland Championship 2025	Dunfermline	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
24-01-2026	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Dunfermline
08-11-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	Dunfermline	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
20-09-2025	Scotland Championship 2025	ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Dunfermline

Competition		Date
Scotland Championship		18-04-2026
Dunfermline	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		24-01-2026
ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Dunfermline
Scotland Championship		08-11-2025
Dunfermline	- (HT -)	ST Johnstone
Scotland Championship		20-09-2025
ST Johnstone	- (HT -)	Dunfermline