Football Prediction: Alaves vs Elche

Alaves vs Elche

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Mendizorroza

1.18
D L W D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.06

W D D W W L

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Alaves and Elche face each other in the Spain La Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alaves have scored an average of 1.05 goals and conceded average of 1.05 goals while Elche scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.49 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alaves vs Elche is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.25%

Head to Head Record - Alaves vs. Elche

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Elche	- (HT -)	Alaves
05-10-2025	Spain La Liga 2025	Alaves	- (HT -)	Elche
05-02-2022	Spain La Liga 2021	Elche	3-1 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
26-10-2021	Spain La Liga 2021	Alaves	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Elche
11-05-2021	Spain La Liga 2020	Elche	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
18-10-2020	Spain La Liga 2020	Alaves	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Elche

Competition		Date
Spain La Liga		10-05-2026
Elche	- (HT -)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		05-10-2025
Alaves	- (HT -)	Elche
Spain La Liga		05-02-2022
Elche	3-1 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		26-10-2021
Alaves	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Elche
Spain La Liga		11-05-2021
Elche	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		18-10-2020
Alaves	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Elche