Elche vs Rayo Vallecano

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Martinez Valero

1.60
W D W D W D

SCHEDULED -

1.13

L L D L D W

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Elche and Rayo Vallecano face each other in the Spain La Liga match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. The two teams have met 8 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.88 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Elche have scored an average of 1.13 goals and conceded average of 1.13 goals while Rayo Vallecano scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.78 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Elche vs Rayo Vallecano is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.23%

Head to Head Record - Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano

Date	Competition	Match
05-04-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Rayo Vallecano	- (HT -)	Elche
21-12-2025	Spain La Liga 2025	Elche	- (HT -)	Rayo Vallecano
29-04-2023	Spain La Liga 2022	Elche	4-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
03-10-2022	Spain La Liga 2022	Rayo Vallecano	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Elche
18-02-2022	Spain La Liga 2021	Elche	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Rayo Vallecano
17-10-2021	Spain La Liga 2021	Rayo Vallecano	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Elche
09-02-2015	Spain La Liga 2014	Elche	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
14-09-2014	Spain La Liga 2014	Rayo Vallecano	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Elche
18-01-2014	Spain La Liga 2013	Elche	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
19-08-2013	Spain La Liga 2013	Rayo Vallecano	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Elche

Competition		Date
Spain La Liga		05-04-2026
Rayo Vallecano	- (HT -)	Elche
Spain La Liga		21-12-2025
Elche	- (HT -)	Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga		29-04-2023
Elche	4-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga		03-10-2022
Rayo Vallecano	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		18-02-2022
Elche	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga		17-10-2021
Rayo Vallecano	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		09-02-2015
Elche	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga		14-09-2014
Rayo Vallecano	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		18-01-2014
Elche	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga		19-08-2013
Rayo Vallecano	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Elche

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