Football Prediction: Alaves vs Oviedo

Alaves vs Oviedo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Mendizorroza

1.69
W D W W L D

SCHEDULED -

1.34

L D W W W W

Kick Off: 04-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Alaves and Oviedo face each other in the Spain La Liga match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alaves have scored an average of 1.05 goals and conceded average of 1.05 goals while Oviedo scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.09 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alaves vs Oviedo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.24%

Head to Head Record - Alaves vs. Oviedo

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Oviedo	- (HT -)	Alaves
04-01-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Alaves	- (HT -)	Oviedo
13-01-2023	Spain Segunda División 2022	Oviedo	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
29-10-2022	Spain Segunda División 2022	Alaves	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Oviedo

Competition		Date
Spain La Liga		17-05-2026
Oviedo	- (HT -)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		04-01-2026
Alaves	- (HT -)	Oviedo
Spain Segunda División		13-01-2023
Oviedo	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
Spain Segunda División		29-10-2022
Alaves	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Oviedo