Alaves vs Villarreal

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Mendizorroza

1.23
L D L W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.35

W W W L L D

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Alaves and Villarreal face each other in the Spain La Liga match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. The two teams have met 16 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.38 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.75 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alaves have scored an average of 1.05 goals and conceded average of 1.05 goals while Villarreal scored 1.30 goals and conceded 1.25 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alaves vs Villarreal is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.44%

Head to Head Record - Alaves vs. Villarreal

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Alaves	- (HT -)	Villarreal
11-01-2026	Spain La Liga 2025	Villarreal	- (HT -)	Alaves
08-03-2025	Spain La Liga 2024	Alaves	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Villarreal
09-11-2024	Spain La Liga 2024	Villarreal	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Alaves
10-02-2024	Spain La Liga 2023	Alaves	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Villarreal
22-10-2023	Spain La Liga 2023	Villarreal	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
30-04-2022	Spain La Liga 2021	Alaves	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Villarreal
21-12-2021	Spain La Liga 2021	Villarreal	5-2 (HT 2-1)	Alaves
21-04-2021	Spain La Liga 2020	Alaves	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Villarreal
30-09-2020	Spain La Liga 2020	Villarreal	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Alaves
25-01-2020	Spain La Liga 2019	Alaves	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
25-10-2019	Spain La Liga 2019	Villarreal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Alaves
02-03-2019	Spain La Liga 2018	Villarreal	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
28-10-2018	Spain La Liga 2018	Alaves	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
10-02-2018	Spain La Liga 2017	Villarreal	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
17-09-2017	Spain La Liga 2017	Alaves	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
17-04-2017	Spain La Liga 2016	Alaves	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Villarreal
27-11-2016	Spain La Liga 2016	Villarreal	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Alaves

Competition		Date
Spain La Liga		15-03-2026
Alaves	- (HT -)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		11-01-2026
Villarreal	- (HT -)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		08-03-2025
Alaves	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		09-11-2024
Villarreal	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		10-02-2024
Alaves	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		22-10-2023
Villarreal	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		30-04-2022
Alaves	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		21-12-2021
Villarreal	5-2 (HT 2-1)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		21-04-2021
Alaves	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		30-09-2020
Villarreal	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		25-01-2020
Alaves	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		25-10-2019
Villarreal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		02-03-2019
Villarreal	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		28-10-2018
Alaves	2-1 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		10-02-2018
Villarreal	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Alaves
Spain La Liga		17-09-2017
Alaves	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		17-04-2017
Alaves	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Villarreal
Spain La Liga		27-11-2016
Villarreal	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Alaves

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