Football Prediction: Burgos vs Elche | Spain Segunda División

Burgos vs Elche

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

2.25
W D D W L L

SCHEDULED -

0.56

W W D W W D

Kick Off: 04-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Burgos and Elche face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 4th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burgos have scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded average of 1.21 goals while Elche scored 0.91 goals and conceded 1.53 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burgos vs Elche is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.17%

Head to Head Record - Burgos vs. Elche

Date	Competition	Match
04-05-2025	Spain Segunda División 2024	Burgos	- (HT -)	Elche
27-10-2024	Spain Segunda División 2024	Elche	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
02-02-2024	Spain Segunda División 2023	Elche	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Burgos
23-09-2023	Spain Segunda División 2023	Burgos	4-0 (HT 2-0)	Elche

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		04-05-2025
Burgos	- (HT -)	Elche
Spain Segunda División		27-10-2024
Elche	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		02-02-2024
Elche	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		23-09-2023
Burgos	4-0 (HT 2-0)	Elche