Football Prediction: Elche vs Malaga | Spain Segunda División

Elche vs Malaga

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

1.04
D W L W D W

SCHEDULED -

1.17

L L D W W D

Kick Off: 25-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Elche and Malaga face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 25th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Elche have scored an average of 1.10 goals and conceded average of 1.10 goals while Malaga scored 0.90 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Elche vs Malaga is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.17%

Head to Head Record - Elche vs. Malaga

Date	Competition	Match
25-05-2025	Spain Segunda División 2024	Elche	- (HT -)	Malaga
28-09-2024	Spain Segunda División 2024	Malaga	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Elche
03-05-2015	Spain La Liga 2014	Malaga	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Elche
21-12-2014	Spain La Liga 2014	Elche	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Malaga
03-05-2014	Spain La Liga 2013	Malaga	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Elche
20-12-2013	Spain La Liga 2013	Elche	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Malaga

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		25-05-2025
Elche	- (HT -)	Malaga
Spain Segunda División		28-09-2024
Malaga	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		03-05-2015
Malaga	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		21-12-2014
Elche	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Malaga
Spain La Liga		03-05-2014
Malaga	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Elche
Spain La Liga		20-12-2013
Elche	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Malaga