Football Prediction: Malaga vs Burgos | Spain Segunda División

Malaga vs Burgos

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda

1.04
D L D W D W

SCHEDULED -

0.95

L D W W W L

Kick Off: 01-06-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Malaga and Burgos face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 1st of June 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Malaga have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while Burgos scored 0.77 goals and conceded 1.29 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Malaga vs Burgos is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.96%

Head to Head Record - Malaga vs. Burgos

Date	Competition	Match
01-06-2025	Spain Segunda División 2024	Malaga	- (HT -)	Burgos
15-12-2024	Spain Segunda División 2024	Burgos	- (HT -)	Malaga
21-01-2023	Spain Segunda División 2022	Malaga	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
14-08-2022	Spain Segunda División 2022	Burgos	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Malaga
21-05-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Malaga	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Burgos
27-11-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Burgos	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Malaga

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		01-06-2025
Malaga	- (HT -)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		15-12-2024
Burgos	- (HT -)	Malaga
Spain Segunda División		21-01-2023
Malaga	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		14-08-2022
Burgos	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Malaga
Spain Segunda División		21-05-2022
Malaga	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		27-11-2021
Burgos	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Malaga