Football Prediction: Las Palmas vs Almeria

Las Palmas vs Almeria

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria

1.18
L L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.10

D L W D W L

Kick Off: 28-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Las Palmas and Almeria face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 28th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Las Palmas have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Almeria scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.77 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Las Palmas vs Almeria is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.38%

Head to Head Record - Las Palmas vs. Almeria

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Spain Segunda División 2025	Almeria	- (HT -)	Las Palmas
28-09-2025	Spain Segunda División 2025	Las Palmas	- (HT -)	Almeria
17-03-2024	Spain La Liga 2023	Las Palmas	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Almeria
28-10-2023	Spain La Liga 2023	Almeria	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Las Palmas
09-01-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Las Palmas	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Almeria
09-10-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Almeria	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Las Palmas

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		17-05-2026
Almeria	- (HT -)	Las Palmas
Spain Segunda División		28-09-2025
Las Palmas	- (HT -)	Almeria
Spain La Liga		17-03-2024
Las Palmas	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Almeria
Spain La Liga		28-10-2023
Almeria	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Las Palmas
Spain Segunda División		09-01-2022
Las Palmas	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		09-10-2021
Almeria	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Las Palmas