Football Prediction: Burgos vs Valladolid

Burgos vs Valladolid

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

1.91
W D L L W L

SCHEDULED -

1.23

W L L L L L

Kick Off: 12-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Burgos and Valladolid face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 12th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burgos have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Valladolid scored 0.98 goals and conceded 1.71 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burgos vs Valladolid is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.79%

Head to Head Record - Burgos vs. Valladolid

Date	Competition	Match
29-03-2026	Spain Segunda División 2025	Valladolid	- (HT -)	Burgos
12-10-2025	Spain Segunda División 2025	Burgos	- (HT -)	Valladolid
13-01-2024	Spain Segunda División 2023	Burgos	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Valladolid
01-10-2023	Spain Segunda División 2023	Valladolid	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Burgos
08-01-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Valladolid	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Burgos
05-09-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Burgos	3-0 (HT 3-0)	Valladolid

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		29-03-2026
Valladolid	- (HT -)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		12-10-2025
Burgos	- (HT -)	Valladolid
Spain Segunda División		13-01-2024
Burgos	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Valladolid
Spain Segunda División		01-10-2023
Valladolid	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		08-01-2022
Valladolid	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		05-09-2021
Burgos	3-0 (HT 3-0)	Valladolid