Football Prediction: Leganes vs Almeria

Leganes vs Almeria

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

1.65
W W L W D D

SCHEDULED -

1.38

D L W D W L

Kick Off: 23-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Leganes and Almeria face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 23rd of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Leganes have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded average of 1.17 goals while Almeria scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.77 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Leganes vs Almeria is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.37%

Head to Head Record - Leganes vs. Almeria

Date	Competition	Match
05-04-2026	Spain Segunda División 2025	Almeria	- (HT -)	Leganes
23-11-2025	Spain Segunda División 2025	Leganes	- (HT -)	Almeria
15-01-2025	Spain Copa del Rey 2024	Almeria	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Leganes
29-05-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Leganes	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Almeria
29-10-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Almeria	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Leganes

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		05-04-2026
Almeria	- (HT -)	Leganes
Spain Segunda División		23-11-2025
Leganes	- (HT -)	Almeria
Spain Copa del Rey		15-01-2025
Almeria	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Leganes
Spain Segunda División		29-05-2022
Leganes	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		29-10-2021
Almeria	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Leganes