Football Prediction: Almeria vs Burgos | Spain Segunda División

Almeria vs Burgos

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: UD Almería Stadium

2.03
D L W D W L

SCHEDULED -

1.17

W D L L W L

Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Almeria and Burgos face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Almeria have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Burgos scored 0.77 goals and conceded 1.28 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Almeria vs Burgos is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.37%

Head to Head Record - Almeria vs. Burgos

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Spain Segunda División 2025	Burgos	- (HT -)	Almeria
14-12-2025	Spain Segunda División 2025	Almeria	- (HT -)	Burgos
21-03-2025	Spain Segunda División 2024	Burgos	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Almeria
05-10-2024	Spain Segunda División 2024	Almeria	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
30-04-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Burgos	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Almeria
07-11-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Almeria	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		10-05-2026
Burgos	- (HT -)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		14-12-2025
Almeria	- (HT -)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		21-03-2025
Burgos	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		05-10-2024
Almeria	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos
Spain Segunda División		30-04-2022
Burgos	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		07-11-2021
Almeria	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Burgos