Monday 11th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Malaga vs Burgos

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda

This is Logo of Home Team: Malaga 1.19
D L W L W W
SCHEDULED -
1.05 This is Logo of Away Team: Burgos
D L L W L L
Kick Off: 25-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Malaga and Burgos face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 25th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Malaga have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Burgos scored 0.77 goals and conceded 1.28 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Malaga vs Burgos is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.97%

Head to Head Record - Malaga vs. Burgos

Date Competition Match
25-01-2026 Spain Segunda División 2025 Malaga - (HT -) Burgos
28-09-2025 Spain Segunda División 2025 Burgos - (HT -) Malaga
31-05-2025 Spain Segunda División 2024 Malaga 2-2 (HT 0-1) Burgos
15-12-2024 Spain Segunda División 2024 Burgos 0-0 (HT 0-0) Malaga
21-01-2023 Spain Segunda División 2022 Malaga 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burgos
14-08-2022 Spain Segunda División 2022 Burgos 1-0 (HT 0-0) Malaga
21-05-2022 Spain Segunda División 2021 Malaga 0-1 (HT 0-1) Burgos
27-11-2021 Spain Segunda División 2021 Burgos 3-0 (HT 1-0) Malaga
Competition Date
Spain Segunda División 25-01-2026
Malaga - (HT -) Burgos
Spain Segunda División 28-09-2025
Burgos - (HT -) Malaga
Spain Segunda División 31-05-2025
Malaga 2-2 (HT 0-1) Burgos
Spain Segunda División 15-12-2024
Burgos 0-0 (HT 0-0) Malaga
Spain Segunda División 21-01-2023
Malaga 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burgos
Spain Segunda División 14-08-2022
Burgos 1-0 (HT 0-0) Malaga
Spain Segunda División 21-05-2022
Malaga 0-1 (HT 0-1) Burgos
Spain Segunda División 27-11-2021
Burgos 3-0 (HT 1-0) Malaga