Football Prediction: Almeria vs Las Palmas

Almeria vs Las Palmas

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: UD Almería Stadium

1.81
D L W D W L

SCHEDULED -

1.83

D L L L L L

Kick Off: 17-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Almeria and Las Palmas face each other in the Spain Segunda División match on Sunday 17th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Almeria have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Las Palmas scored 0.99 goals and conceded 1.58 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Almeria vs Las Palmas is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.84%

Head to Head Record - Almeria vs. Las Palmas

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Spain Segunda División 2025	Almeria	- (HT -)	Las Palmas
28-09-2025	Spain Segunda División 2025	Las Palmas	- (HT -)	Almeria
17-03-2024	Spain La Liga 2023	Las Palmas	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Almeria
28-10-2023	Spain La Liga 2023	Almeria	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Las Palmas
09-01-2022	Spain Segunda División 2021	Las Palmas	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Almeria
09-10-2021	Spain Segunda División 2021	Almeria	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Las Palmas

Competition		Date
Spain Segunda División		17-05-2026
Almeria	- (HT -)	Las Palmas
Spain Segunda División		28-09-2025
Las Palmas	- (HT -)	Almeria
Spain La Liga		17-03-2024
Las Palmas	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Almeria
Spain La Liga		28-10-2023
Almeria	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Las Palmas
Spain Segunda División		09-01-2022
Las Palmas	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Almeria
Spain Segunda División		09-10-2021
Almeria	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Las Palmas