Football Prediction: Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.46
W W D W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.75

W L L D W W

Kick Off: 21-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Samsunspor and Fatih Karagümrük face each other in the Turkey Süper Lig match on Sunday 21st of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Samsunspor have scored an average of 1.62 goals and conceded average of 1.62 goals while Fatih Karagümrük scored 1.21 goals and conceded 1.77 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrük is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.00%

Head to Head Record - Samsunspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük

Date	Competition	Match
22-02-2026	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Fatih Karagümrük	- (HT -)	Samsunspor
21-09-2025	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Samsunspor	- (HT -)	Fatih Karagümrük
25-05-2024	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Fatih Karagümrük	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Samsunspor
06-01-2024	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Samsunspor	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fatih Karagümrük

Competition		Date
Turkey Süper Lig		22-02-2026
Fatih Karagümrük	- (HT -)	Samsunspor
Turkey Süper Lig		21-09-2025
Samsunspor	- (HT -)	Fatih Karagümrük
Turkey Süper Lig		25-05-2024
Fatih Karagümrük	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Samsunspor
Turkey Süper Lig		06-01-2024
Samsunspor	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fatih Karagümrük