Football Prediction: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.27
W W D W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.68

L W L W W L

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Samsunspor and Fenerbahce face each other in the Turkey Süper Lig match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Samsunspor have scored an average of 1.63 goals and conceded average of 1.63 goals while Fenerbahce scored 2.02 goals and conceded 1.18 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.58%

Head to Head Record - Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahce

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Fenerbahce	- (HT -)	Samsunspor
05-10-2025	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Samsunspor	- (HT -)	Fenerbahce
16-03-2025	Turkey Süper Lig 2024	Fenerbahce	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Samsunspor
20-10-2024	Turkey Süper Lig 2024	Samsunspor	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Fenerbahce
21-01-2024	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Fenerbahce	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Samsunspor
21-08-2023	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Samsunspor	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Fenerbahce

Competition		Date
Turkey Süper Lig		08-03-2026
Fenerbahce	- (HT -)	Samsunspor
Turkey Süper Lig		05-10-2025
Samsunspor	- (HT -)	Fenerbahce
Turkey Süper Lig		16-03-2025
Fenerbahce	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Samsunspor
Turkey Süper Lig		20-10-2024
Samsunspor	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Fenerbahce
Turkey Süper Lig		21-01-2024
Fenerbahce	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Samsunspor
Turkey Süper Lig		21-08-2023
Samsunspor	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Fenerbahce