Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagümrük

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

1.67
W D D W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.76

L L L L W L

Kick Off: 15-02-2026 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagümrük face each other in the Turkey Süper Lig match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. The two teams have met 6 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Kasimpasa have scored an average of 1.73 goals and conceded average of 1.73 goals while Fatih Karagümrük scored 1.22 goals and conceded 1.80 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagümrük is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.67%

Head to Head Record - Kasimpasa vs. Fatih Karagümrük

Date	Competition	Match
15-02-2026	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Kasimpasa	- (HT -)	Fatih Karagümrük
13-09-2025	Turkey Süper Lig 2025	Fatih Karagümrük	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Kasimpasa
16-02-2024	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Kasimpasa	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Fatih Karagümrük
01-10-2023	Turkey Süper Lig 2023	Fatih Karagümrük	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Kasimpasa
06-06-2023	Turkey Süper Lig 2022	Fatih Karagümrük	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Kasimpasa
15-01-2023	Turkey Süper Lig 2022	Kasimpasa	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Fatih Karagümrük
09-04-2022	Turkey Süper Lig 2021	Fatih Karagümrük	3-2 (HT 2-0)	Kasimpasa
21-11-2021	Turkey Süper Lig 2021	Kasimpasa	1-3 (HT 1-3)	Fatih Karagümrük

Competition		Date
Turkey Süper Lig		15-02-2026
Kasimpasa	- (HT -)	Fatih Karagümrük
Turkey Süper Lig		13-09-2025
Fatih Karagümrük	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Kasimpasa
Turkey Süper Lig		16-02-2024
Kasimpasa	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Fatih Karagümrük
Turkey Süper Lig		01-10-2023
Fatih Karagümrük	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Kasimpasa
Turkey Süper Lig		06-06-2023
Fatih Karagümrük	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Kasimpasa
Turkey Süper Lig		15-01-2023
Kasimpasa	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Fatih Karagümrük
Turkey Süper Lig		09-04-2022
Fatih Karagümrük	3-2 (HT 2-0)	Kasimpasa
Turkey Süper Lig		21-11-2021
Kasimpasa	1-3 (HT 1-3)	Fatih Karagümrük

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