Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Bayern München vs Chelsea

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Allianz Arena

This is Logo of Home Team: Bayern München 2.43
W W W L W L
SCHEDULED -
1.53 This is Logo of Away Team: Chelsea
W W D W W W
Kick Off: 17-09-2025 23:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Bayern München and Chelsea face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 17th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bayern München have scored an average of 3.04 goals and conceded average of 3.04 goals while Chelsea scored 1.63 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bayern München vs Chelsea is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.75%

Head to Head Record - Bayern München vs. Chelsea

Date Competition Match
17-09-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Bayern München - (HT -) Chelsea
08-08-2020 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Bayern Munich 4-1 (HT 2-1) Chelsea
25-02-2020 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Chelsea 0-3 (HT 0-0) Bayern Munich
19-05-2012 World UEFA Champions League 2011 Bayern Munich 1-1 (HT 0-0) Chelsea
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 17-09-2025
Bayern München - (HT -) Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League 08-08-2020
Bayern Munich 4-1 (HT 2-1) Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League 25-02-2020
Chelsea 0-3 (HT 0-0) Bayern Munich
World UEFA Champions League 19-05-2012
Bayern Munich 1-1 (HT 0-0) Chelsea