Football Prediction: Manchester City vs Napoli

Manchester City vs Napoli

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Etihad Stadium

1.98
L L W D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.54

W W W D D W

Kick Off: 18-09-2025 23:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Manchester City and Napoli face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Thursday 18th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Manchester City have scored an average of 2.59 goals and conceded average of 2.59 goals while Napoli scored 1.66 goals and conceded 1.11 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Manchester City vs Napoli is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.44%

Head to Head Record - Manchester City vs. Napoli

Date	Competition	Match
18-09-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Manchester City	- (HT -)	Napoli
01-11-2017	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Napoli	2-4 (HT 1-1)	Manchester City
17-10-2017	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Manchester City	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Napoli
22-11-2011	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Napoli	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Manchester City
14-09-2011	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Manchester City	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Napoli

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		18-09-2025
Manchester City	- (HT -)	Napoli
World UEFA Champions League		01-11-2017
Napoli	2-4 (HT 1-1)	Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League		17-10-2017
Manchester City	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Napoli
World UEFA Champions League		22-11-2011
Napoli	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League		14-09-2011
Manchester City	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Napoli