Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Marseille vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Orange Vélodrome

This is Logo of Home Team: Marseille 2.59
L W L W W D
SCHEDULED -
2.39 This is Logo of Away Team: Ajax
D W D W W D
Kick Off: 30-09-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Marseille and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 30th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Marseille have scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded average of 1.72 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Marseille vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73.20%

Head to Head Record - Marseille vs. Ajax

Date Competition Match
30-09-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Marseille - (HT -) Ajax
30-11-2023 World UEFA Europa League 2023 Marseille 4-3 (HT 2-2) Ajax
21-09-2023 World UEFA Europa League 2023 Ajax 3-3 (HT 2-2) Marseille
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 30-09-2025
Marseille - (HT -) Ajax
World UEFA Europa League 30-11-2023
Marseille 4-3 (HT 2-2) Ajax
World UEFA Europa League 21-09-2023
Ajax 3-3 (HT 2-2) Marseille