Marseille vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Orange Vélodrome

2.14
W L W L W L

SCHEDULED -

2.04

D L W D W D

Kick Off: 30-09-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Marseille and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 30th of September 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 3.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Marseille have scored an average of 1.73 goals and conceded average of 1.73 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Marseille vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 78.71%

Head to Head Record - Marseille vs. Ajax

Date	Competition	Match
30-09-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Marseille	- (HT -)	Ajax
30-11-2023	World UEFA Europa League 2023	Marseille	4-3 (HT 2-2)	Ajax
21-09-2023	World UEFA Europa League 2023	Ajax	3-3 (HT 2-2)	Marseille

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		30-09-2025
Marseille	- (HT -)	Ajax
World UEFA Europa League		30-11-2023
Marseille	4-3 (HT 2-2)	Ajax
World UEFA Europa League		21-09-2023
Ajax	3-3 (HT 2-2)	Marseille

close ads X