Marseille vs Ajax
H2H, Stats & Predictions
Venue: Orange Vélodrome

L W L W W D
SCHEDULED
-
2.39


D
W
D
W
W
D
Kick Off: 30-09-2025 21:00 h.
Mathematical Predictions:
Over 2.5
|
In the last 10 matches Marseille have scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded average of 1.72 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.
Poisson distribution algorithm
We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.
Most probable outcome for Marseille vs Ajax is:
Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73.20%
Head to Head Record - Marseille vs. Ajax
Date | Competition | Match | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
30-09-2025 | World UEFA Champions League 2025 | Marseille | - (HT -) | Ajax | 30-11-2023 | World UEFA Europa League 2023 | Marseille | 4-3 (HT 2-2) | Ajax | 21-09-2023 | World UEFA Europa League 2023 | Ajax | 3-3 (HT 2-2) | Marseille |
Competition | Date | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
World UEFA Champions League | 30-09-2025 | ||||
Marseille | - (HT -) | Ajax | |||
World UEFA Europa League | 30-11-2023 | ||||
Marseille | 4-3 (HT 2-2) | Ajax | |||
World UEFA Europa League | 21-09-2023 | ||||
Ajax | 3-3 (HT 2-2) | Marseille |