Chelsea vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stamford Bridge

1.58
L L D W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.03

D W L D W W

Kick Off: 30-09-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and Home WIN

Chelsea and Benfica face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 30th of September 2025. The two teams have met 3 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chelsea have scored an average of 2.04 goals and conceded average of 2.04 goals while Benfica scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chelsea vs Benfica is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.79%

Head to Head Record - Chelsea vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
30-09-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Chelsea	- (HT -)	Benfica
28-06-2025	World FIFA Club World Cup 2025	Benfica	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea
04-04-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Chelsea	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Benfica
27-03-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Benfica	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		30-09-2025
Chelsea	- (HT -)	Benfica
World FIFA Club World Cup		28-06-2025
Benfica	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		04-04-2012
Chelsea	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Benfica
World UEFA Champions League		27-03-2012
Benfica	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea

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