Football Prediction: Villarreal vs Manchester City

Villarreal vs Manchester City

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica

1.32
D W W W W W

SCHEDULED -

2.32

L L W D W W

Kick Off: 21-10-2025 23:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Away WIN

Villarreal and Manchester City face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 21st of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Villarreal have scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded average of 1.80 goals while Manchester City scored 1.96 goals and conceded 1.03 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Villarreal vs Manchester City is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.80%

Head to Head Record - Villarreal vs. Manchester City

Date	Competition	Match
21-10-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Villarreal	- (HT -)	Manchester City
02-11-2011	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Villarreal	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Manchester City
18-10-2011	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Manchester City	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Villarreal

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		21-10-2025
Villarreal	- (HT -)	Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League		02-11-2011
Villarreal	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League		18-10-2011
Manchester City	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Villarreal