Chelsea vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stamford Bridge

1.91
L L D W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.66

D L W D W D

Kick Off: 22-10-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Chelsea and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 22nd of October 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chelsea have scored an average of 2.04 goals and conceded average of 2.04 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chelsea vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.16%

Head to Head Record - Chelsea vs. Ajax

Date	Competition	Match
22-10-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Chelsea	- (HT -)	Ajax
05-11-2019	World UEFA Champions League 2019	Chelsea	4-4 (HT 1-3)	Ajax
23-10-2019	World UEFA Champions League 2019	Ajax	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		22-10-2025
Chelsea	- (HT -)	Ajax
World UEFA Champions League		05-11-2019
Chelsea	4-4 (HT 1-3)	Ajax
World UEFA Champions League		23-10-2019
Ajax	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Chelsea

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