Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Chelsea vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stamford Bridge

This is Logo of Home Team: Chelsea 2.63
W W D W W W
SCHEDULED -
2.66 This is Logo of Away Team: Ajax
D W D W W D
Kick Off: 22-10-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Chelsea and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 22nd of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 4.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chelsea have scored an average of 2.04 goals and conceded average of 2.04 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chelsea vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 77.31%

Head to Head Record - Chelsea vs. Ajax

Date Competition Match
22-10-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Chelsea - (HT -) Ajax
05-11-2019 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Chelsea 4-4 (HT 1-3) Ajax
23-10-2019 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Ajax 0-1 (HT 0-0) Chelsea
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 22-10-2025
Chelsea - (HT -) Ajax
World UEFA Champions League 05-11-2019
Chelsea 4-4 (HT 1-3) Ajax
World UEFA Champions League 23-10-2019
Ajax 0-1 (HT 0-0) Chelsea