Qarabag vs Chelsea

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu

0.88
W L W W W W

SCHEDULED -

2.61

L L D W W D

Kick Off: 05-11-2025 18:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Qarabag and Chelsea face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 5th of November 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 5.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Qarabag have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Chelsea scored 1.63 goals and conceded 1.20 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Qarabag vs Chelsea is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.71%

Head to Head Record - Qarabag vs. Chelsea

Date	Competition	Match
05-11-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Qarabag	- (HT -)	Chelsea
22-11-2017	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Qarabag	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Chelsea
12-09-2017	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Chelsea	6-0 (HT 2-0)	Qarabag

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		05-11-2025
Qarabag	- (HT -)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		22-11-2017
Qarabag	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		12-09-2017
Chelsea	6-0 (HT 2-0)	Qarabag

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