Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Marseille vs Atalanta

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Orange Vélodrome

This is Logo of Home Team: Marseille 1.66
L W L W W D
SCHEDULED -
1.63 This is Logo of Away Team: Atalanta
D D L W W W
Kick Off: 05-11-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Marseille and Atalanta face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 5th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Marseille have scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded average of 1.72 goals while Atalanta scored 1.59 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Marseille vs Atalanta is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.16%

Head to Head Record - Marseille vs. Atalanta

Date Competition Match
05-11-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Marseille - (HT -) Atalanta
09-05-2024 World UEFA Europa League 2023 Atalanta 3-0 (HT 1-0) Marseille
02-05-2024 World UEFA Europa League 2023 Marseille 1-1 (HT 1-1) Atalanta
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 05-11-2025
Marseille - (HT -) Atalanta
World UEFA Europa League 09-05-2024
Atalanta 3-0 (HT 1-0) Marseille
World UEFA Europa League 02-05-2024
Marseille 1-1 (HT 1-1) Atalanta