Ajax vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Johan Cruijff ArenA

1.64
D L W D W D

SCHEDULED -

1.10

D W L D W W

Kick Off: 25-11-2025 18:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Ajax and Benfica face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 25th of November 2025. The two teams have met 4 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ajax have scored an average of 2.57 goals and conceded average of 2.57 goals while Benfica scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ajax vs Benfica is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.69%

Head to Head Record - Ajax vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
25-11-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Ajax	- (HT -)	Benfica
15-03-2022	World UEFA Champions League 2021	Ajax	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
23-02-2022	World UEFA Champions League 2021	Benfica	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Ajax
07-11-2018	World UEFA Champions League 2018	Benfica	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ajax
23-10-2018	World UEFA Champions League 2018	Ajax	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		25-11-2025
Ajax	- (HT -)	Benfica
World UEFA Champions League		15-03-2022
Ajax	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
World UEFA Champions League		23-02-2022
Benfica	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Ajax
World UEFA Champions League		07-11-2018
Benfica	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ajax
World UEFA Champions League		23-10-2018
Ajax	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

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