Football Prediction: Chelsea vs Barcelona | World UEFA Champions League

Chelsea vs Barcelona

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stamford Bridge

1.63
W W D W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.50

D W W W L W

Kick Off: 25-11-2025 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Chelsea and Barcelona face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 25th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chelsea have scored an average of 2.04 goals and conceded average of 2.04 goals while Barcelona scored 2.12 goals and conceded 1.02 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chelsea vs Barcelona is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.87%

Head to Head Record - Chelsea vs. Barcelona

Date	Competition	Match
25-11-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Chelsea	- (HT -)	Barcelona
14-03-2018	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Barcelona	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Chelsea
20-02-2018	World UEFA Champions League 2017	Chelsea	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Barcelona
24-04-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Barcelona	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Chelsea
18-04-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Chelsea	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Barcelona

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		25-11-2025
Chelsea	- (HT -)	Barcelona
World UEFA Champions League		14-03-2018
Barcelona	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		20-02-2018
Chelsea	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Barcelona
World UEFA Champions League		24-04-2012
Barcelona	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		18-04-2012
Chelsea	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Barcelona