Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Qarabag vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu

This is Logo of Home Team: Qarabag 1.29
L W W W W W
SCHEDULED -
2.44 This is Logo of Away Team: Ajax
D W D W W D
Kick Off: 10-12-2025 19:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Qarabag and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 10th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Qarabag have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Qarabag vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.03%

Head to Head Record - Qarabag vs. Ajax

Date Competition Match
10-12-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Qarabag - (HT -) Ajax
24-10-2024 World UEFA Europa League 2024 Qarabag 0-3 (HT 0-1) Ajax
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 10-12-2025
Qarabag - (HT -) Ajax
World UEFA Europa League 24-10-2024
Qarabag 0-3 (HT 0-1) Ajax