Qarabag vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu

0.88
W L W W W W

SCHEDULED -

2.09

D L W D W D

Kick Off: 10-12-2025 18:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Qarabag and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 10th of December 2025. The two teams have met 1 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Qarabag have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Qarabag vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.92%

Head to Head Record - Qarabag vs. Ajax

Date	Competition	Match
10-12-2025	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Qarabag	- (HT -)	Ajax
24-10-2024	World UEFA Europa League 2024	Qarabag	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Ajax

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		10-12-2025
Qarabag	- (HT -)	Ajax
World UEFA Europa League		24-10-2024
Qarabag	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Ajax

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