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Real Madrid vs Manchester City

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

This is Logo of Home Team: Real Madrid 1.85
W W W W W W
SCHEDULED -
1.48 This is Logo of Away Team: Manchester City
D W W L L W
Kick Off: 10-12-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN
Real Madrid and Manchester City face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 10th of December 2025. The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.83 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.58 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Real Madrid have scored an average of 2.68 goals and conceded average of 2.68 goals while Manchester City scored 1.95 goals and conceded 1.03 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Real Madrid vs Manchester City is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.56%

Head to Head Record - Real Madrid vs. Manchester City

Date Competition Match
10-12-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Real Madrid - (HT -) Manchester City
19-02-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2024 Real Madrid 3-1 (HT 2-0) Manchester City
11-02-2025 World UEFA Champions League 2024 Manchester City 2-3 (HT 1-0) Real Madrid
17-04-2024 World UEFA Champions League 2023 Manchester City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Real Madrid
09-04-2024 World UEFA Champions League 2023 Real Madrid 3-3 (HT 2-1) Manchester City
04-05-2022 World UEFA Champions League 2021 Real Madrid 2-1 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
26-04-2022 World UEFA Champions League 2021 Manchester City 4-3 (HT 2-1) Real Madrid
07-08-2020 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Manchester City 2-1 (HT 1-1) Real Madrid
26-02-2020 World UEFA Champions League 2019 Real Madrid 1-2 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
04-05-2016 World UEFA Champions League 2015 Real Madrid 1-0 (HT 1-0) Manchester City
26-04-2016 World UEFA Champions League 2015 Manchester City 0-0 (HT 0-0) Real Madrid
21-11-2012 World UEFA Champions League 2012 Manchester City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Real Madrid
18-09-2012 World UEFA Champions League 2012 Real Madrid 3-2 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 10-12-2025
Real Madrid - (HT -) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 19-02-2025
Real Madrid 3-1 (HT 2-0) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 11-02-2025
Manchester City 2-3 (HT 1-0) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 17-04-2024
Manchester City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 09-04-2024
Real Madrid 3-3 (HT 2-1) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 04-05-2022
Real Madrid 2-1 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 26-04-2022
Manchester City 4-3 (HT 2-1) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 07-08-2020
Manchester City 2-1 (HT 1-1) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 26-02-2020
Real Madrid 1-2 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 04-05-2016
Real Madrid 1-0 (HT 1-0) Manchester City
World UEFA Champions League 26-04-2016
Manchester City 0-0 (HT 0-0) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 21-11-2012
Manchester City 1-1 (HT 0-1) Real Madrid
World UEFA Champions League 18-09-2012
Real Madrid 3-2 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
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