Football Prediction: Villarreal vs Ajax | World UEFA Champions League

Villarreal vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica

1.37
D W W W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.46

D W D W W D

Kick Off: 20-01-2026 22:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Villarreal and Ajax face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday 20th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Villarreal have scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded average of 1.80 goals while Ajax scored 2.07 goals and conceded 1.19 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Villarreal vs Ajax is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.52%

Head to Head Record - Villarreal vs. Ajax

Date	Competition	Match
20-01-2026	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Villarreal	- (HT -)	Ajax

Competition			Date
World UEFA Champions League			20-01-2026
Villarreal		- (HT -)	Ajax