Napoli vs Chelsea

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

1.76
W L W W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.54

L L D W W D

Kick Off: 28-01-2026 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Napoli and Chelsea face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 28th of January 2026. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Napoli have scored an average of 2.06 goals and conceded average of 2.06 goals while Chelsea scored 1.63 goals and conceded 1.20 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Napoli vs Chelsea is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.02%

Head to Head Record - Napoli vs. Chelsea

Date	Competition	Match
28-01-2026	World UEFA Champions League 2025	Napoli	- (HT -)	Chelsea
14-03-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Chelsea	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Napoli
21-02-2012	World UEFA Champions League 2011	Napoli	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Chelsea

Competition		Date
World UEFA Champions League		28-01-2026
Napoli	- (HT -)	Chelsea
World UEFA Champions League		14-03-2012
Chelsea	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Napoli
World UEFA Champions League		21-02-2012
Napoli	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Chelsea

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