Wednesday 3rd of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Benfica vs Real Madrid

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

This is Logo of Home Team: Benfica 1.33
W W W D W W
SCHEDULED -
1.33 This is Logo of Away Team: Real Madrid
W W W L W W
Kick Off: 28-01-2026 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Benfica and Real Madrid face each other in the World UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday 28th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Benfica have scored an average of 2.08 goals and conceded average of 2.08 goals while Real Madrid scored 2.06 goals and conceded 1.05 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Benfica vs Real Madrid is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.49%

Head to Head Record - Benfica vs. Real Madrid

Date Competition Match
28-01-2026 World UEFA Champions League 2025 Benfica - (HT -) Real Madrid
Competition Date
World UEFA Champions League 28-01-2026
Benfica - (HT -) Real Madrid