Football Prediction: FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz

FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MCH Arena

2.23
W W W W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.41

W L L W D L

Kick Off: 24-09-2025 18:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

FC Midtjylland and Sturm Graz face each other in the World UEFA Europa League match on Wednesday 24th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Midtjylland have scored an average of 2.09 goals and conceded average of 2.09 goals while Sturm Graz scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.64%

Head to Head Record - FC Midtjylland vs. Sturm Graz

Date	Competition	Match
24-09-2025	World UEFA Europa League 2025	FC Midtjylland	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
03-11-2022	World UEFA Europa League 2022	FC Midtjylland	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Sturm Graz
08-09-2022	World UEFA Europa League 2022	Sturm Graz	1-0 (HT 1-0)	FC Midtjylland

Competition		Date
World UEFA Europa League		24-09-2025
FC Midtjylland	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
World UEFA Europa League		03-11-2022
FC Midtjylland	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Sturm Graz
World UEFA Europa League		08-09-2022
Sturm Graz	1-0 (HT 1-0)	FC Midtjylland