Football Prediction: Slovenia vs Sweden | World World Cup

Slovenia vs Sweden

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Stožice

1.23
D D D L W L

SCHEDULED -

1.99

W W W D W W

Kick Off: 05-09-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Away WIN

Slovenia and Sweden face each other in the World World Cup - Qualification Europe match on Friday 5th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Slovenia have scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded average of 1.20 goals while Sweden scored 1.55 goals and conceded 1.41 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Slovenia vs Sweden is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.95%

Head to Head Record - Slovenia vs. Sweden

Date	Competition	Match
18-11-2025	World World Cup - Qualification Europe 2024	Sweden	- (HT -)	Slovenia
05-09-2025	World World Cup - Qualification Europe 2024	Slovenia	- (HT -)	Sweden
27-09-2022	World UEFA Nations League 2022	Sweden	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Slovenia
02-06-2022	World UEFA Nations League 2022	Slovenia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Sweden

Competition		Date
World World Cup - Qualification Europe		18-11-2025
Sweden	- (HT -)	Slovenia
World World Cup - Qualification Europe		05-09-2025
Slovenia	- (HT -)	Sweden
World UEFA Nations League		27-09-2022
Sweden	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Slovenia
World UEFA Nations League		02-06-2022
Slovenia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Sweden