Football Prediction: Italy vs Estonia | World World Cup

Italy vs Estonia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Gewiss Stadium

1.22
W L D L L W

SCHEDULED -

0.47

L L W L L D

Kick Off: 05-09-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Italy and Estonia face each other in the World World Cup - Qualification Europe match on Friday 5th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Italy have scored an average of 1.81 goals and conceded average of 1.81 goals while Estonia scored 0.67 goals and conceded 1.83 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Italy vs Estonia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.05%

Head to Head Record - Italy vs. Estonia

Date	Competition	Match
11-10-2025	World World Cup - Qualification Europe 2024	Estonia	- (HT -)	Italy
05-09-2025	World World Cup - Qualification Europe 2024	Italy	- (HT -)	Estonia

Competition		Date
World World Cup - Qualification Europe		11-10-2025
Estonia	- (HT -)	Italy
World World Cup - Qualification Europe		05-09-2025
Italy	- (HT -)	Estonia