Football Prediction: Ecuador vs Argentina | World World Cup

Ecuador vs Argentina

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado

0.68
D D W L W D

SCHEDULED -

1.07

D W D W W W

Kick Off: 14-09-2025 00:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Ecuador and Argentina face each other in the World World Cup - Qualification South America match on Sunday 14th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ecuador have scored an average of 1.70 goals and conceded average of 1.70 goals while Argentina scored 2.11 goals and conceded 0.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ecuador vs Argentina is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.45%

Head to Head Record - Ecuador vs. Argentina

Date	Competition	Match
14-09-2025	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Ecuador	- (HT -)	Argentina
05-07-2024	World Copa America 2024	Argentina	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador
08-09-2023	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Argentina	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Ecuador
04-07-2021	World Copa America 2021	Argentina	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador

Competition		Date
World World Cup - Qualification South America		14-09-2025
Ecuador	- (HT -)	Argentina
World Copa America		05-07-2024
Argentina	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador
World World Cup - Qualification South America		08-09-2023
Argentina	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Ecuador
World Copa America		04-07-2021
Argentina	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Ecuador