Football Prediction: Chile vs Uruguay | World World Cup

Chile vs Uruguay

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Monumental David Arellano

0.72
W D L L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.10

D W D L D D

Kick Off: 14-09-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Chile and Uruguay face each other in the World World Cup - Qualification South America match on Sunday 14th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chile have scored an average of 1.15 goals and conceded average of 1.15 goals while Uruguay scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chile vs Uruguay is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.46%

Head to Head Record - Chile vs. Uruguay

Date	Competition	Match
14-09-2025	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Chile	- (HT -)	Uruguay
09-09-2023	World World Cup - Qualification South America 2026	Uruguay	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Chile
21-06-2021	World Copa America 2021	Uruguay	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Chile
24-06-2019	World Copa America 2019	Chile	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Uruguay

Competition		Date
World World Cup - Qualification South America		14-09-2025
Chile	- (HT -)	Uruguay
World World Cup - Qualification South America		09-09-2023
Uruguay	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Chile
World Copa America		21-06-2021
Uruguay	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Chile
World Copa America		24-06-2019
Chile	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Uruguay