Football Prediction: Ried vs Sturm Graz

Ried vs Sturm Graz

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Innviertel Arena

1.42
L L L D D D

SCHEDULED -

1.50

D L W W L L

Kick Off: 16-08-2025 19:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Ried and Sturm Graz face each other in the Austria Bundesliga match on Saturday 16th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ried have scored an average of 1.34 goals and conceded average of 1.34 goals while Sturm Graz scored 1.46 goals and conceded 1.40 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ried vs Sturm Graz is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.69%

Head to Head Record - Ried vs. Sturm Graz

Date	Competition	Match
06-02-2026	Austria Bundesliga 2025	Sturm Graz	- (HT -)	Ried
16-08-2025	Austria Bundesliga 2025	Ried	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
30-10-2022	Austria Bundesliga 2022	Sturm Graz	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Ried
06-08-2022	Austria Bundesliga 2022	Ried	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Sturm Graz
06-03-2022	Austria Bundesliga 2021	Ried	2-2 (HT 0-0)	Sturm Graz
17-10-2021	Austria Bundesliga 2021	Sturm Graz	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Ried

Competition		Date
Austria Bundesliga		06-02-2026
Sturm Graz	- (HT -)	Ried
Austria Bundesliga		16-08-2025
Ried	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga		30-10-2022
Sturm Graz	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Ried
Austria Bundesliga		06-08-2022
Ried	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga		06-03-2022
Ried	2-2 (HT 0-0)	Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga		17-10-2021
Sturm Graz	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Ried