Football Prediction: Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Merkur Arena

1.74
L D D W D D

SCHEDULED -

2.01

W L L W D L

Kick Off: 30-08-2025 20:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Grazer AK and Sturm Graz face each other in the Austria Bundesliga match on Saturday 30th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Grazer AK have scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded average of 1.06 goals while Sturm Graz scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.22%

Head to Head Record - Grazer AK vs. Sturm Graz

Date	Competition	Match
06-12-2025	Austria Bundesliga 2025	Sturm Graz	- (HT -)	Grazer AK
30-08-2025	Austria Bundesliga 2025	Grazer AK	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
09-03-2025	Austria Bundesliga 2024	Grazer AK	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Sturm Graz
19-10-2024	Austria Bundesliga 2024	Sturm Graz	5-2 (HT 2-0)	Grazer AK

Competition		Date
Austria Bundesliga		06-12-2025
Sturm Graz	- (HT -)	Grazer AK
Austria Bundesliga		30-08-2025
Grazer AK	- (HT -)	Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga		09-03-2025
Grazer AK	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga		19-10-2024
Sturm Graz	5-2 (HT 2-0)	Grazer AK