Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

This is Logo of Home Team: Spartak Varna 1.12
L D L L D D
SCHEDULED -
1.26 This is Logo of Away Team: Arda Kardzhali
D L L L W D
Kick Off: 13-09-2025 17:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW
Spartak Varna and Arda Kardzhali face each other in the Bulgaria First League match on Saturday 13th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spartak Varna have scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded average of 1.21 goals while Arda Kardzhali scored 0.96 goals and conceded 1.16 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.36%

Head to Head Record - Spartak Varna vs. Arda Kardzhali

Date Competition Match
28-02-2026 Bulgaria First League 2025 Arda Kardzhali - (HT -) Spartak Varna
13-09-2025 Bulgaria First League 2025 Spartak Varna - (HT -) Arda Kardzhali
07-02-2025 Bulgaria First League 2024 Arda Kardzhali 2-2 (HT 1-1) Spartak Varna
16-08-2024 Bulgaria First League 2024 Spartak Varna 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arda Kardzhali
06-03-2023 Bulgaria First League 2022 Arda Kardzhali 2-0 (HT 0-0) Spartak Varna
20-08-2022 Bulgaria First League 2022 Spartak Varna 1-3 (HT 1-1) Arda Kardzhali
Competition Date
Bulgaria First League 28-02-2026
Arda Kardzhali - (HT -) Spartak Varna
Bulgaria First League 13-09-2025
Spartak Varna - (HT -) Arda Kardzhali
Bulgaria First League 07-02-2025
Arda Kardzhali 2-2 (HT 1-1) Spartak Varna
Bulgaria First League 16-08-2024
Spartak Varna 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arda Kardzhali
Bulgaria First League 06-03-2023
Arda Kardzhali 2-0 (HT 0-0) Spartak Varna
Bulgaria First League 20-08-2022
Spartak Varna 1-3 (HT 1-1) Arda Kardzhali