Football Prediction: Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.76
W L L L L W

SCHEDULED -

1.44

W L L L D L

Kick Off: 20-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Septemvri Sofia and Botev Plovdiv face each other in the Bulgaria First League match on Saturday 20th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Septemvri Sofia have scored an average of 1.10 goals and conceded average of 1.10 goals while Botev Plovdiv scored 1.11 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.27%

Head to Head Record - Septemvri Sofia vs. Botev Plovdiv

Date	Competition	Match
20-09-2025	Bulgaria First League 2025	Septemvri Sofia	- (HT -)	Botev Plovdiv
12-04-2025	Bulgaria First League 2024	Botev Plovdiv	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Septemvri Sofia
04-11-2024	Bulgaria First League 2024	Septemvri Sofia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Botev Plovdiv
10-03-2023	Bulgaria First League 2022	Septemvri Sofia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Botev Plovdiv
26-08-2022	Bulgaria First League 2022	Botev Plovdiv	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Septemvri Sofia

Competition		Date
Bulgaria First League		20-09-2025
Septemvri Sofia	- (HT -)	Botev Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League		12-04-2025
Botev Plovdiv	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League		04-11-2024
Septemvri Sofia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Botev Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League		10-03-2023
Septemvri Sofia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Botev Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League		26-08-2022
Botev Plovdiv	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Septemvri Sofia