Football Prediction: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage vs Northampton

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: The Lamex Stadium

2.11
W L W W L W

Full Time 2-0

1.31

W W L L L D

Kick Off: 16-08-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Stevenage and Northampton face each other in the England League One match on Saturday 16th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Stevenage have scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded average of 1.21 goals while Northampton scored 1.04 goals and conceded 1.76 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Stevenage vs Northampton is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.34%

Head to Head Record - Stevenage vs. Northampton

Date	Competition	Match
07-02-2026	England League One 2025	Northampton	- (HT -)	Stevenage
16-08-2025	England League One 2025	Stevenage	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton
01-01-2025	England League One 2024	Northampton	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Stevenage
03-12-2024	England League One 2024	Stevenage	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton
26-12-2023	England League One 2023	Stevenage	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Northampton
05-08-2023	England League One 2023	Northampton	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Stevenage

Competition		Date
England League One		07-02-2026
Northampton	- (HT -)	Stevenage
England League One		16-08-2025
Stevenage	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton
England League One		01-01-2025
Northampton	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Stevenage
England League One		03-12-2024
Stevenage	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Northampton
England League One		26-12-2023
Stevenage	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Northampton
England League One		05-08-2023
Northampton	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Stevenage