Football Prediction: Burton Albion vs Plymouth

Burton Albion vs Plymouth

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Pirelli Stadium

1.25
L L L D D L

SCHEDULED -

1.17

W L D W L L

Kick Off: 27-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Burton Albion and Plymouth face each other in the England League One match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burton Albion have scored an average of 1.15 goals and conceded average of 1.15 goals while Plymouth scored 1.09 goals and conceded 1.59 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burton Albion vs Plymouth is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.42%

Head to Head Record - Burton Albion vs. Plymouth

Date	Competition	Match
04-01-2026	England League One 2025	Plymouth	- (HT -)	Burton Albion
27-09-2025	England League One 2025	Burton Albion	- (HT -)	Plymouth
29-04-2023	England League One 2022	Plymouth	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burton Albion
19-11-2022	England League One 2022	Burton Albion	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Plymouth
09-04-2022	England League One 2021	Burton Albion	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Plymouth
09-10-2021	England League One 2021	Plymouth	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Burton Albion

Competition		Date
England League One		04-01-2026
Plymouth	- (HT -)	Burton Albion
England League One		27-09-2025
Burton Albion	- (HT -)	Plymouth
England League One		29-04-2023
Plymouth	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Burton Albion
England League One		19-11-2022
Burton Albion	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Plymouth
England League One		09-04-2022
Burton Albion	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Plymouth
England League One		09-10-2021
Plymouth	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Burton Albion